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Economics

The Risk of Education

by CultState on Mar.31, 2010, under Economics

When times become dire for the powers that be, the first victim tends to be state-run educational services.  Given our obvious hatred of the future, (performing abortions until elderly dependents outnumber young tax sources, borrowing money to pay for events the current generation wants and having it paid for by future generations, etc.) slashes in education, at first, appear par for the course.  However, upon a complete cost/benefit analysis, we begin to see something much more unsettling.

There is a known risk in educating a person from the ages of 5 to 18.  The growing child may not have the mental and emotional facilities to grasp emergent technologies or organization strategies.  There is little a state-run institution can do to mitigate or regulate this risk… other than by pouring more money into it’s systems.   Simply put: You won’t know with certainty the outcome of a child’s education until the child is a young adult. By then, lump sums have been expended in the hope that the future youth is capable of competing on the world stage.  The risk of education has long been a concern of highly-industrialized societies that requires intelligent, or at least technically-apt citizens.

So how does one bring down the risk associated with education while increasing the performance, innovation, and output of society?  Revolutionary teaching curriculum?  New Age educational methods?  More funding?  Privatization?  More hugs, less drugs?  <insert comfortable slogan here>?

Nay.

If we ever need technical workers in a pinch, (and we always will) we either outsource or promote immigration.  The amount of money associated with promoting multiculturalism and tolerance, especially in a society that is already morally-fixated on Noble Savage worship, is orders of magnitude less than the amount of money required to educate a student.   Furthermore, the effectiveness of mobilizing poverty-stricken adults with obligations as opposed to trying to rally care-free children addicted to entertainment is not even a contest.   With such incredible incentives in place, only those unfortunate souls who suffer from blind spurts of emotional nostalgia favor taking on the risk of education in the face of an endless horde of labor who will do anything for a modicum of financial stability.

We learned some time ago not to sit around and wait if our education engine could keep up with the pace of our industrial society.  As long as we can get access to pools of poverty that are willing to be a part of an elaborate labor process for a pittance without requiring significant schooling, there is absolutely no incentive to educate future generations born within our country.  Therefore, it becomes acceptable to slash any and every fund that go towards education when times get tough.  As long as we have an overabundance of bleeding-hearts on tap, it will be very obvious which demographic will be favored and which one will continue to be left with nothing.

If you somehow managed to not be part of the wrath of the irresponsible mother, you will not be taught how the world works.   Instead, you will be forced to bear the burden of your elder’s entitlements without receiving any yourself.  This is our future, but only if we let it.

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Don’t ask me about Ronald Reagen

by CultState on Mar.05, 2010, under Economics

When asked about my opinion on Ronald Reagen, I must provide a much needed back story.

Long before Reagan, there was Nixon, and Nixon had a problem: There were far more US Dollars in circulation than Gold could back. (And we had well over 8,000 tons of gold on tap!) This was due to the amount of money flowing overseas to purchase oil for ourselves and the staggering cost of the Vietnam War.

As this problem became known, people (West Germany, in particular) left the International Gold Standard. (Bretton-Woods)  Others soon followed and Nixon decided it was time to drop the Gold Standard. (1971)  Within two years, international laws were made that forced oil to be traded in US Dollars. (1973)

The Petrodollar was born.

Once the US Dollar was pegged to oil consumption, the rule of the day became controlling inflation via international modernization: a very slow process that is perfect as a driver of inflation due to its stabilizing nature. (In the 70s, that generation called this process the cute name of Self-Destiny and believe themselves the champions over Imperialism!)  The theory was simple: The world would grow slowly to the thirst of oil and the price of oil slowly matched the demand.   The result was the dollar being in a far better leveraging position that it was under Gold as it engaged in the proto-Neoliberal global market.

Nixon had saved the day. For now.

However, not everyone wanted to modernize. It wasn’t long until regional volatility in oil-producing nations shook America to the crippling point: the OPEC oil embargo.  (Thank you, Israel!)   This event lead to most, if not all, of the the economic problems in the 1970s. As oil prices spiked, inflation would soar while crippling the national employment due to the cost of oil. (The infamous “stagflation” of the 70s finally explained) The stability we yearned for was not coming quite as we expected. We were left with few options and the path we did choose sealed our fate:  Soften oil price volatility and its hazardous effects on the nation through massive spending.

Spending fueled through borrowing, of course.

Enter Mr. Reagen.  Enter the idea that we can outpace unstable oil prices by masking it through massive domestic spending.  It was quite the craze and, worse off, it was considered the moral thing to do.  Revise the employment laws to employ everyone, regardless of color, race, gender, talent, need, and all that good stuff!   Refactor who qualifies for loans!   No credit, no problem!  Your job is your credit!  Distribute money to as many people as possible so when shocks hit the market, the sheer volume of currency should absorb most of it for the time being.  Consumer habits and the individual had become human shields for oil volatility.   Reagen’s maneuvering bought us another 8 years of being sheltered from the true nature of the Petrodollar.  The borrowing model continued ever since, but lenders gradually started to ask the same question: How exactly are you going to make these Treasury Assets bear interest?

The answer, the one the Hippy Generation spent 40 years desperately avoiding, became more clear overtime: Full-time Oil Wars Stabilize oil volatility and you stabilize the Petrodollar. Stabilize the petrodollar, and the US dollar yields interest that matters. The stability of oil prices became a more urgent issue due to the collapse of Russia and the proliferation of nuclear arms throughout Asia.

And when I say Oil War, I’m not talking about the kind of brawl where you take a few production facilities and setup a perimeter.  I’m not talking about the kind of warfare where unwashed college students can simply whine their way to influence.    I mean an Oil War where you cause so much damage to the national infrastructure and the population base, oil producers are forced to mirror America in their massive domestic spending to get back on par.  The theory is that if the producers can’t stabilize their own output or, worse,  are intentionally manipulating their own markets to gain influence, then the interest that should have gone to the American dollar will now be paid in blood.

In the midst of it all, a terrible pattern was forming that, to this day, no one has noticed except a handful of us: The more debt we sold, the more severe oil volatility becomes. (http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/05/11/KliesenGuo.pdf, Page 3)  Of course, that’s nothing compared to the grand daddy pattern of all: The more chaotic oil prices become, the more the power players will destroy Democracy trying to get it stable. Dependency always has a cost that, when left unchecked, always leads to slavery.

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